Don’t ask me why I was thinking about this last night, but I was. Last week Journey North posted an update about the Monarch Migration suggesting that they were slowly migrating through Texas, but perhaps a little slower than normal. Today Journey North posted a “flash update” saying the first Monarchs have been spotted in their overwintering grounds in Mexico.
So, the Monarchs are migrating, but they seem to be moving a little slow towards and through Texas. I know for the last 3-4 days the wind has been blowing very strong towards the North (which is not conducive to the migration towards Mexico). From checking the weather, and what I think I understand about the Monarch Migration, I’m going to go out on a limb and say that I believe we will start seeing a dramatic increase in the Monarchs migrating through Texas starting this Thursday, October 28.
Here’s why I think that. One, the wind has been blowing way to strong in the wrong direction for the last several days. That should all change starting Thursday around 1 am when the wind is supposed to begin blowing towards the South. The other reason I’m predicting this is because with this big change in the wind direction on Thursday, it should also bring much cooler temperatures (it was close to 90 degrees today). On Friday, the high is supposed to be only 78 degrees with a low around 48 degrees. Therefore, the somewhat slow migration thus far, a big push from the wind, and finally cooler temperatures I predict will motivate the Monarchs to really make their move towards Mexico.
What do you think? Does it make sense? Think I am crazy? Disagree? Let me know, I’d be interested in your thoughts